
一 | Professor David Woodard, Clemson University political scientist and former political consultant for Republican congressmen, believes that an early bid by Donald Trump could be "a disaster.",Sputnik: What are the pros and cons of starting the race in the middle of the highly publicized January 6 panel hearings?,Woodard: In my opinion Trump is not starting his race in the middle of the hearings. He is waiting and will file for office later. He likes the spotlight, but this time the hearings only hurt him. The Democrats know they are facing the apocalypse in the midterm elections this year, so they are playing the only tune they can - Trump is bad. They are hopeful of discrediting Trump before the midterm elections. I think the tactic is good: Trump has two impeachments against him and a riot on election day - those are not good recommendations for someone to run for office.,Trump Reportedly Mulls Making 2024 Presidential Bid as Early as July While Aides & Allies Divided2 July, 12:34 GMT,Sputnik: What legal and political consequences do you expect from the congressional hearings into the Capitol riot, especially given Cassidy Hutchinson's testimony last week?,Woodard: I think Cassidy Hutchinson will be discredited, but her testimony has been successful in raising questions Republicans, not just Democrats, have about Trump. Even if she can't prove that Trump "lunged for the wheel" in the limo, the behavior described fits his former president's personality. I think the GOP regulars are looking for a new leader and this hearing serves to discredit Trump even in his denial.,I think the hearings will be criticized by the Republican - about to be majority - in Congress. If Liz Cheney loses, then the hearings will be discredited. If Liz Cheney wins her race, (that is possible, but not probable) then the Trump people are in trouble because her victory shows that the GOP is independent of Trump appeals. That's big news.,Sputnik: Some Republicans are urging Trump to postpone his campaigning until after the midterms, arguing that he might prove a distraction from the party's message. How would an early bid affect the upcoming midterms results?,Woodard: An early bid by Trump could be a disaster. It is like the American space program, the early launch of a rocket means it could tumble back to earth. Trump is fully capable of a mistimed beginning, this isn't 2016 anymore. Timing is important in politics, and the Trump election was perfectly timed opposite Hillary Clinton. That isn't the case anymore, he's overstayed his time on the stage, and Republicans are ready to change to a new voice.,Trump Could Preempt ‘Bogus Findings’ of January 6 Hearing by Announcing 2024 Bid Early, Pundit SaysYesterday, 15:29 GMT,Sputnik: Trump would enter the race with an approval rating among Republicans of around 80 percent. Would an early bid help Trump to reassert himself as the head of the party and cause voters to rally behind him?,Woodard: Remember this about approval ratings (the 80% for Trump): They don't transfer into votes. Yes, Republicans remember Trump, but they also remember Teddy Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan - that doesn't mean they think those people from the past are the best choice in the present. Trump can only re-assert his leadership if he trashes his opponents in early presidential primaries...until then, everything about Trump is pure speculation. I believe that Trump - like Barry Goldwater, Ross Perot, and Richard Nixon - is past history. He can't revive himself after he is so well-known, and with his reputation he has a real problem looking good.,Sputnik: Who are his main rivals inside the party and how do you rate their chances?,Woodard: Obviously, the main voice of the future is Ron DeSantis in Florida. He's a governor and he has a regular voice opposite Biden. Tom Cotton from Arkansas is a solid, conservative voice but he isn't a startling, bright personality. Rick Scott is another Florida personality, but I think he is behind DeSantis. Nikki Haley from SC is a much smaller light than other members of the field, but she might make a good VP. Ted Cruz from Texas is too rough a personality after Trump, people like - they don't love - Cruz.,© AP Photo / Wilfredo LeeFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis listens during a news conference, Tuesday, Aug. 3, 2021, near the Shark Valley Visitor Center in MiamiFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis listens during a news conference, Tuesday, Aug. 3, 2021, near the Shark Valley Visitor Center in Miami© AP Photo / Wilfredo Lee,Mike Pence is strengthened by the congressional hearings because he is shown to be an honest man. His problem is that he doesn't have a platform to address the audience. I think Trump will be shown to be a bag of wind, something Americans don't want in the presidential office again.。 昨天傍晚六点半,杭州东站未来数智港,提着电脑包的田静从电梯里走出——这位“95后”手作小摊主,刚刚打烊便匆匆赶来。白天守小店,晚间赶夜校,一场专为上城青春小店和市集摊主量身打造的“数智港AI夜校”暨“超级个体”主理人成长营,正式拉开帷幕。首期课程为期4天,从8月13日持续至16日,共吸引31位扎根上城的青年创业者参与。“95后”手作主理人田静、咖啡品牌主理人徐贝城、“00后”文创主理人林婉茵……这群年轻面孔,怀揣着同一个期待:用AI为自家小店赋能。田静经营手作小摊已满一年,说起创业的难处,有点无奈:“每次出摊或上新,海报要自己设计,短视频要自己剪,朋友圈文案要自己写,样样都得硬扛。”林婉茵也坦言,自己不擅长剪辑转场,外包制作成本太高,自己摸索常常熬夜,做出来的宣传物料却依然平平,线上客流始终不见起色。这样的困境,每位参加成长营的学员都有同感。在上城,一间间“小而美”的青春小店、一个个热闹鲜活的市集,既是街巷烟火气的源泉,也是青年创业梦的载体;但绝大多数个体店主都是“单打独斗”,人手有限,数字化宣传和品牌包装成了横在眼前的共同难题。捕捉到这些真实痛点,上城团区委联合未来数智港、浙江传媒学院培训中心,依托深受年轻人喜爱的青年夜校模式,打造了这场AI实训营,将AIGC实用技能直接送到创业者身边。三方分工明确、协同发力:团区委牵头统筹,链接青年店主资源;未来数智港提供数字化教室与配套硬件,开放产业资源;浙江传媒学院培训中心则发挥专业优势,派出具有丰富AI实操经验的专属讲师。开营第一课上,AIGC讲师岳松带来《AI认知与人机沟通》。他分享说,AI不会替代懂行业的人,但会极大放大懂行业的人的能力——前提是学会把“高级”“好看”这类模糊形容词“翻译”成具体细节。田静听得很认真,一边记笔记一边在电脑上尝试操作。一堂课下来,她发现原来AI门槛没那么高,只要一步步拆解需求,便生成了贴合店铺风格的文案和配图建议。“夜校的上课时间特意选在傍晚,精准贴合店主经营作息,不耽误白天营业。”上城团区委相关负责人介绍,本次成长营以数字AI工具运用为核心,目标很明确:用低成本、易上手的AI工具,帮个体创业者独立搞定品牌包装、内容宣传,切实降低小微创业的数字化门槛,让他们从“单打独斗”变身数智“超级个体”。AI夜校是上城区青年发展型城区建设、升级青年夜校服务的一次创新尝试,后续将根据学员的经营反馈持续优化课程安排,希望这盏夜间教室的灯光,点亮小微创业者的梦想。
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